The Junta de Andalucia environment ministry has warned of the negative impacts that predicted climate change will have on tourism in the region in the future.
Tourism accounts for eleven per cent of the region's gross income and is dependent on the weather. According to data published by the Junta inland areas of the region will see an average temperature rise of 4 degrees centigrade by the year 2050 with an increase of up to 8 degrees in some areas. The coastal areas will see an increase of up to twenty per cent in rainfall in the same period, with around three per cent more in inland areas, although this increase will be offset by more evaporation due to the heat and the net effect will be less water in the region with some rivers which now have water all year round becoming seasonal or maybe even drying up completely in the future and the resulting water shortages at times when demand is highest. Sea levels will rise by 15 to 20 centimetres on the Mediterranean coast and by 5 to 10 cm on the Atlantic coast, with the coastline receding by 7 to 12 metres as a result. It is predicted that as a result of the increase in heat waves and the loss of beaches, Spanish tourists will opt for holidays in the North of Spain and European tourists will stay in their own countries.
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